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Commenced in January 2007 Frequency: Monthly Edition: International Publications Count: 29306


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10008352
Conventional Four Steps Travel Demand Modeling for Kabul New City
Abstract:
This research is a very essential towards transportation planning of Kabul New City. In this research, the travel demand of Kabul metropolitan area (Existing and Kabul New City) are evaluated for three different target years (2015, current, 2025, mid-term, 2040, long-term). The outcome of this study indicates that, though currently the vehicle volume is less the capacity of existing road networks, Kabul city is suffering from daily traffic congestions. This is mainly due to lack of transportation management, the absence of proper policies, improper public transportation system and violation of traffic rules and regulations by inhabitants. On the other hand, the observed result indicates that the current vehicle to capacity ratio (VCR) which is the most used index to judge traffic status in the city is around 0.79. This indicates the inappropriate traffic condition of the city. Moreover, by the growth of population in mid-term (2025) and long-term (2040) and in the case of no development in the road network and transportation system, the VCR value will dramatically increase to 1.40 (2025) and 2.5 (2040). This can be a critical situation for an urban area from an urban transportation perspective. Thus, by introducing high-capacity public transportation system and the development of road network in Kabul New City and integrating these links with the existing city road network, significant improvements were observed in the value of VCR.
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References:

[1] The study for the development of the master plan for the Kabul metropolitan area in the Islamic republic of Afghanistan, Land use and GIS sector, Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA), September 2009.
[2] Kabul city master plan, sub project for revise the Kabul city master plan, Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA), June 2011.
[3] Clifford H. Spiegelman, Eun Sug Park, and Laurence R. Rilett 2010 “ Transportation Statictics and Microsimulation
[4] Mcnally, M. G. The Four Step Model. Tech. Rep. UCI-ITS-AS-WP-00-51, Center for 507 Activity Systems Analysis, 2000.
[5] Moshe Ben-Akiva and Steven R. Lerman “Discrete Choice Analysis – Theeory and Application to Travel Demand”
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